Kampanjen for å stoppe START

Ari­zona Senator Jon Kyl (repub­li­ka­nernes inn­pisker i Senatet) var gjest på gårs­da­gens Meet the Press (28. november 2010). Inter­vjuet gir inn­sikt i hvorfor Senator Kyl ikke vil stemme for START-avtalen som ble under­tegnet av pre­si­dent Obama og Russ­lands pre­si­dent Med­vedev i april.

David Gre­gory tok opp emnet ved å spørre Senator Kyl om han fort­satt står ved sin tid­li­gere utta­lelse om at START-avtalen ikke har noen mulighet for å bli rati­fi­sert (med minst 67 stemmer) i Sena­tets lame duck-sesjon (dvs. fram til den 3. januar 2011).

Senator Kyl foku­serte på at hans mot­stand er basert på Sena­tets tette saks­liste, og den korte tids­fristen, heller enn pro­blemer med selve avtalen: “it’s more a view of rea­lity rather than policy.”

Kyl foku­serte videre på at det rett og slett ikke haster med å rati­fi­sere avtalen:

I think cle­arly they’ve got to set some priori­ties here. Are they going to deal with the fun­ding of the govern­ment for the remainder of the fiscal year? They’ve got to do that. Are they going to deal with the issue which is on everybody’s mind, that you men­tioned ear­lier, and that is to ensure that we don’t have a big tax increase, the lar­gest tax increase in the his­tory of the country. These are higher priority items. And if we do those things and then potenti­ally deal with some of the other poli­tical issues that Senator Reid has said he wants to deal with, in that event then there would not be time to do a START treaty as well.

Gre­gory var ikke for­nøyd med svaret:

The issue is, Senator Kyl, what do you need all the time for?

Kyl svarte (etter først å ha gjen­tatt det han sa i utgangspunktet):

As I told you, my issue is that you can’t do eve­rything. I was sta­ting it as a matter of rea­lity, not a matter of policy. How can Harry Reid do all of the things we’ve talked about, deal with the expi­ring tax pro­vi­sions and, in addition to that, deal with the START treaty, which by itself could pro­bably take at least two weeks? … We have three weeks to go before the Chris­tmas recess, and there are, in my opi­nion, a lot of amend­ments that have to be raised on this treaty. And as a result colle­agues are going to offer those amend­ments. Is Harry Reid just going to shut it off and say, «We only have three days»?

Kyl uttalte der­etter at Obama admi­ni­stra­sjo­nens hast­verk med å rati­fi­sere avtalen rett og slett bunner i poli­tiske vur­de­ringer. Den samme anklagen kan selv­sagt adres­seres til Senator Kyl.

Senere i pro­grammet hadde Wash­ington Posts E.J. Dionne, Jr. føl­gende å si om Senator Kyls uttalelser:

I think this is an ama­zing position he’s taking. This is somet­hing sup­ported by the entire range of con­ser­va­tive opi­nion, from Bob Kagan, a neocon, to Pat Buchanan, a paleocon, Henry Kis­singer, James A. Baker III. I don’t know why he’s opposing this. I don’t think it was clear from his answer, except he wanted to block a lot of other stuff in the last Congress.

Senator Dick Lugar (R-Indiana) har tid­li­gere uttalt føl­gende:

At this point, I’m simply trying, in as civil a manner as pos­sible to say to my colle­agues, please do your duty by your country.

Pre­si­dent George H.W. Bushs tid­li­gere nasjo­nale sik­ker­hets­råd­giver Bent Scow­croft har på sin side uttalt seg på føl­gende måte:

It’s not clear to me what it is. … I’ve got to think that it’s the increas­ingly par­tisan nature and the desire for the pre­si­dent not to have a for­eign policy victory.

intrade.com kan det spores en nedad­gå­ende kurve over sann­syn­lig­heten for at START-avtalen rati­fi­seres innen utgangen av 2010, og mandag etter­middag (29. november) avtegner mar­kedet en sann­syn­lighet på 32% for at avtalen rati­fi­seres i Sena­tets lame duck-sesjon:

Hva tror du?

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  • Hege Hei­reng

    NATOs nye stra­te­giske kon­sept, som ble ved­tatt på NATOs topp­møte i Lisboa den 20.november 2010, åpner for sam­ar­beid mellom NATO og Russ­land hva gjelder raketts­kjold i Europa. Dette kan øke sann­syn­lig­heten for at flere repub­li­ke­nere, inklu­dert McCain og Jon Kyl, aksep­terer rati­fi­ka­sjon av den nye START-avtalen. Mange repub­li­ka­nere har tid­li­gere fryktet at den nye START-avtalen vil begrense mulig­heten for utplas­se­ring av et raketts­kjold i Europa. For mer infor­ma­sjon, se:
    http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/01/world/europe/01moscow.html?emc=tnt&tntemail0=y

  • Are Tåg­vold Flaten

    Inter­es­sant. Jeg tror nok for øvrig at repub­li­ka­nerne omsider går med på å rati­fi­sere START-avtalen, men det er heller tvil­somt om dette skjer innen utgangen av desember.

  • Hege Hei­reng

    Dagens quote fra Jon Kyl om START-avtalen i New York Times:

    “What do they get out of it? What do we get out of it?” asked Jon Kyl of Ari­zona, the No. 2 Senate Repub­lican. “They get eve­rything out of it. I don’t know what we get out of it except for the pre­si­dent to say he made another arms con­trol deal with Russia.”

    http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/17/world/europe/17start.html?_r=1&emc=tnt&tntemail0=y

  • Are Tåg­vold Flaten

    Fiffig argu­ment at rati­fi­se­ring av START-avtalen ikke fører til stort annet enn en PR-seier for Obama.

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